By Xinhua writer Chen Wenxian, An Na
BEIJING, Dec. 10 (Xinhua) -- Climate Change Conference in Paris 2015(COP21) will develop the final draft, which is a legally binding treaty of the ‘United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change’. The treaty is based on ‘Intended Nationally Determined Contributions’ from different ries, which means that developed ries as US and Europe ries will continue to be the main force leading a global low carbon economy in the future. In order to catch up the world's leading frontier change, the State Council issued "Guideline for actively promoting the ‘Internet +’ in July 2015, which clearly put forward the "Internet +" Intelligent Energy, where ‘+’ is not limited to the existing concept of smart grid and energy Internet, but has a broader meaning of adding intelligent energy into internet, which contains the core Competitiveness of China’s innovation in energy.
How does the development of intelligent energy bring change to China's energy strategy? What kind of role China will play in global low-carbon economy in the future? Professor Wu Jiandong will give in depth answers during the interview with Xinhua News Agency.
Professor Wu recently proposed innovative ideas in international energy reformation in his strategic doctrine of ‘Internet of Things, AI systems and Internet reshape the world's energy productivity’, as well as in the report of ‘Intelligent Energy Internet–Action to determine the success of the world's low carbon transition’.
Q: What is the significance of Paris Climate Agreement? How to transfer from traditional energy to intelligent energy? What are the main methods to achieve the goal?
Wu: The historical significance of the Paris Climate Agreement is to announce the end of high carbon economy era lasting 200 years for the first time. Actually, “U.S.-China Joint Announcement on Climate Change” signed in December, 2014 and “EU-China Joint Statement on Climate Change” signed in June , 2015 had built the basic framework for the Paris Climate Agreement, including the emission peak and strategic cooperation arrangements. Paris Climate Conference express the low carbon growth strategy of these ries in the form of an agreement. Human progress needs to achieve low carbon transition.
However, the world will not only need a strategic vision set up in Paris agreement, but also need to establish the relevant action competency. We advocate to accelerate “the three replacements”, i.e. updating traditional low efficient, high carbon energy system by high efficient, low carbon system enabled by artificial intelligent(AI) system and internet of things(IOT); switching producer centric, centralized energy system to customer centric, intelligent distributed energy system; changing from company pricing and passive trading to dynamic pricing and intelligent business.
The development of intelligent energy, including the construction of a new energy IOT is the historic channel to achieve the three replacements. This is also the technological revolution and industrial changes which the world's productivity and influence in parallel with the Internet. People who have the core competence will have the commanding height of the world's industrial revolution.
Q: What are the differences between Intelligent Energy Internet and conventional energy network? As the founder of Intelligent Energy doctrine, what do you think is the core content of Intelligent Energy Internet?
Wu: Essentially, the main frame of the intelligent energy internet system consists of: energy IOT + shared energy flow database, mobile energy network + dynamic pricing and intelligent business + low emission energy, i.e. energy IOT is the basis; dynamic pricing and intelligent business are pillars, the development of shared energy flow database is the focus, prosumers are in center, achieving low emission economy is the objective. Intelligent energy is an ecological system to realize the positive interaction between consumers and producers and is also a popular new productivity tool.
Intelligent energy network is not only the world's frontier of integrated development of IOT, AI, and Internet, but also the main channel of achievement of economic transformation.
Q: Intelligent Energy is the key to low-carbon economy, and then what is the roadmap to Intelligent Energy Internet?
Wu: In our opinion, the construction of global intelligent energy internet will have three phases: pilot innovation and operation in large economies and developed ries, following actions in marginal ries and cities, global integrated development. Its breakthrough point is the large scale re-construction of energy efficiency system at customer side and customer energy network is the basis defining the value of energy network. The combination of mobile energy network and backbone energy network will be the choice of network structure.
In our opinion, in 2020, intelligent energy internet can achieve main system operation. In 2030, it can provide universal service. By that time, the world's major economies’ coal consumption can be reduced by 4 billion tons compared with 2014, roughly equivalent to 50 percent of global coal consumption in 2014. In long term, we will strive to achieve the strategic goal of controlling the global temperature increase with 2 degrees by 2050. This goal will complete ahead of 30-50 years than that of the Paris Climate Agreement, which is a bold plan. The core is that we put forward the intelligent energy building theory. Energy investment is also the exchange of all the relevant rights with the users. The value of the soft network in intelligent energy investment is greater than the value of the physical infrastructure, and the service network can be higher than the growth of the physical platform. Intelligent energy investment has a multiplier incremental principle. Investment using the intelligent energy construction can yield twice the result with half the effort.
Q: How do you see the history and implementation of Intelligent Energy Internet?
Wu: There are three historical goals of the intellectual energy: 1) In 2030, the public can enjoy the intelligent energy; 2) Promote enterprises and families to achieve double energy efficiency, 3) Strive to make zero carbon and low carbon energy become the world's main energy production and consumption patterns. To improve customers’ intelligent action capability and rules in energy market is the core of energy transition.
Q: What effects will Intelligent Energy Internet construction have on the world?
Wu: According to our estimation, at present, we need to integrate more than 7 billion of the global population, more than 200 billion square meters of housing, over 60 billion all kinds of energy network interface, 1 billion vehicles, vessels and machines, more than 3 billion sets of industrial facilities, more than 100 billion energy facilities and transform them to intelligent and thinking energy IOT, but the current global information, intelligent talents and capital investment is not enough to meet this strong re-construction needs. It is the largest scale transition of next generation global economy structure.
We need to realize the history of energy industry globalization and liberalization of international economy and establish innovative energy enclave and energy corridor. By 2030, global energy needs 90 trillion US dollars of investment and the world needs to add US$50 trillion energy debt. A new worldwide energy economic competition is about to start. New energy revolution and environmental protection is not a burden, but an opportunity.
The development of smart energy, can effectively form the social wisdom、ry inclusiveness and development sustainability of the civilized trend, so that the 7 billion global population is not to be controlled but can actively use the energy networks. Enditem
Bacground: Professor Wu Jiandong, is the founder of “Intelligent Energy” doctrine and “Energy IOT” doctrine. He proposed that intelligent energy system is multi-spiral structure which consists of user right, intelligence right, financial right, processing right, resource right, tax right, disge right, facility right, and it is called ‘Wu Jiandong energy spiral’. As project leader, he presided over the implementation scheme of Chinese smart energy network projects of National Twelfth Five-Year Plan about energy major planing in 2009. In 2010, Professor Wu jiandong was called as " one of the several thought leaders around the world " in the Global Forum on International Smart Grid, held by the US Department of Energy and Gridwise Alliance. Recently, he firstly proposed the ‘theory of energy IOT’ in the world, and he accomplished the sophisticated report on ‘Intelligent Energy Internet–Action to determine the success of the world's low carbon transition’.
附中文:
当地时间10日巴黎气候变化大会将提交最终草案,巴黎气候协议是《联合国气候变化框架公约》有法律约束力的条约,采取了以各国“自主贡献”为主的行动机制,这导致美欧等发达国家将继续成为引导全球低碳经济转变的核心力量。为了不落于世界前沿变革,2015年7月1日国务院发布的《关于积极推进“互联网+”行动的指导意见》明确提出“互联网+”智慧能源,这里+的是智慧能源,而不是仅仅限于已有的智能电网、能源互联网现有概念,具有更深刻含义,包含了我国能源创新的核心竞争力。
发展智慧能源如何改变中国的能源战略?中国将在未来的全球低碳分工体系中扮演什么角色?新华社记者专访了国际智能电网联盟理事、中国科协智慧能源创新研究组组长武建东教授。
近期他提出用“物联网、人工智能系统和互联网重新改变世界能源生产力”的新的战略学说,完成了《智慧能源网--决定世界低碳增长转型成败的行动》高端报告,反应了国际能源转型最为创新的观点。
问:12月10提交的巴黎气候协议有什么重要意义?如何实现从传统能源到新能源业态,推进能源转型的主要通道什么?
武建东:巴黎气候协议历史意义就是第一次宣布了延用200年的高碳经济时代的结束。实际上,2014年11月签署的《中美气候变化联合声明》 和2015年6月签署的《中欧气候变化联合声明》已经搭建了巴黎气候协议的基础框架,包括排放峰值点和战略合作安排,巴黎气候会议用协议形式表达这些大国的低碳增长战略,人类进步需要实现低碳转型。
但是,世界不但需要国际协议制定的战略愿景,更需要建立与之配套的行动能力。我们主张就是加速“三个更换”,即以人工智能化系统和物联网的高效低碳体系更新传统能源的低效高碳体系;以用户为中心的智能分布式能源体系合理切换以生产者为中心的集中型能源体系;以动态定价和智能商务更换旧有的公司定价和被动买卖。
而发展智慧能源、包括建设全新的能源物联网就是实现三个更换的历史大通道。这也是与互联网并列的世界生产力和影响力相当的科技革命和产业变迁。谁抓住它的核心能力谁就拥有了世界级产业变革制高点。
问:智慧能源网与传统能源网有本质区别,如果不能转换进智慧能源模式,中国就无法居于世界产业的顶端,作为智慧能源学说的奠基人,那么什么又是智慧能源网的核心内容?
武建东:从本质而论,智慧能源网体系的主要框架包括能源物联网+共享型能源流数据库与移动能源网+动态定价与智能商务+低排放能源构成。即:它以能源物联网为基础;以动态定价与智能商务为支柱;以推动共享式能源流数据库发展为重点;以消费生产者为中心;以实现低排放经济为目标。智慧能源是实现消费者和生产者积极互动的生态系统,也是大众新生产力工具。
智慧能源网是世界物联网、人工智能、互联网集成发展的前沿,也是解决经济转型主要通道。
问:智慧能源是决定世界低碳增长转型成败的关键机制,那么智慧能源网路线图是什么?
武建东:我们认为构建世界智慧能源网可分为大型经济体和发达国家和地区先创新先运行;边缘国家城市续后联动;全球整合发展三个阶段,它的突破口是大规模重建用户端的能效体系,用户能源网是定义能源网络价值的根本,移动能源网与骨干能源网并存成为必然选择的网架模式。
2020年左右智慧能源网可以实现主干体系运行,2030年可以实现提供普遍服务。届时世界主要经济体煤炭消费可比2014年减少40亿吨,这个水平相当于2014年全球煤炭消费的50%左右。长远看,力争2050-2070年间实现全球气温上升控制在2℃以内的战略目标,这个目标比巴黎气候协议提前了30-50年,属于比较大胆的计划了,其核心就是我们提出了智慧建设论,能源投资也是与用户所有的相关权利的交换,智慧能源投资获得的软性网络大于实体设施的价值,服务网络可高于实体平台的成长,智慧能源投资具有递增乘数收益规则,使用智慧建设论投资可以事半功倍。
问:您如何看待智慧能源的历史发展和实施阶段?
武建东:智慧能源的历史目标有三个,即2030年实现大众普遍享有智慧能源;推动企业和家庭实现能效翻番;争取无碳低碳能源成为全球主力能源的生产方式和消费方式,而提高能源市场中消费端的智慧行动能力和行动规则是能源转型的核心。
问:智慧能源网的建设将会对世界产生什么影响?
武建东:根据我们测算,目前需要把全球70亿人口、2000亿以上平米的房屋、600亿以上的各类能源网接口、10亿以上的机动车船机、30亿台套以上的工业设施、1000亿以上的能源设施组件整合起来转换到智能化、能思考的能源物联网世界,目前全球的信息化、智能化人才和资本投入这个改造也不足以应付其强盛需求,这是下一代世界经济结构最大规模的转换。
历史需要我们实现能源产业的全球化和放开型经济、甚或建立国际创新的能源飞地和能源走廊。因应至2030年全球能源所需90万亿美元投资规模,世界需要新增50万亿美元的能源债权规模,一场新的世界范围内的能源经济大赛行将展开。新能源革命和环保减排不是负担,而是机遇!
发展智慧能源,可以有效形成智慧社会、包容国家、可持续发展的文明潮流,让世界70亿人不是被控制而是积极使用能源网络。
人物背景:
武建东,被业界誉为“智慧能源学说奠基人”,“中国能源物联网学说奠基人”他提出能源体系是由用户权、智慧权、金融权、加工权、资源权、税权、排放权、设施权八个行为体组成的多螺旋结构,被称为武建东能源螺旋。作为组长,2009年他主持过国家十二五能源重大规划中国智能能源网实施方案项目。2010年,被美国能源部、国际智能电网联盟召开的全球智能电网论坛称为“全球少数几个思想领导者”。近期他在国际上首次全面提出能源物联网学说,完成了《智慧能源网--决定世界低碳增长转型成败的行动》高端报告。